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At present, the global macroeconomic environment is still complex and changeable. Although the domestic economy has generally maintained a stable recovery trend, it still faces many challenges in the context of the global economic slowdown. Although the tension of international trade has eased, uncertainty still exists, and the operating pressure of some export-oriented enterprises has not been fundamentally alleviated, which has affected the market's expectation of overall economic growth to a certain extent, and then reflected in the trend of A-share market. In addition, recent fluctuations in some macroeconomic data, such as marginal changes in manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), have also made investors more cautious in judging the economic prospects, which has become one of the deep-seated reasons for the lack of market confidence and the downward trend of the index after opening higher in the morning.From the internal structure of the market, the phenomenon of plate differentiation is more prominent. The weighting sectors such as finance in early trading once drove the index to open higher, but the follow-up of other sectors was weak. On the one hand, science and technology growth sectors, such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors, which had a large increase in the previous period, are facing profit-taking pressure. With the recent gradual increase in the valuation of related sectors, some investors choose to lock in profits, and funds flow out of these high-valuation sectors, which has a certain impact on the overall popularity of the market. On the other hand, the traditional cyclical sectors, such as steel and coal, are relatively depressed due to multiple factors such as overcapacity, environmental protection policies and fluctuation of downstream demand, and failed to form effective support after the index opened higher, resulting in the lack of core driving force for sustained growth in the market, and finally moved towards a low trend.

From the technical analysis point of view, today's Shanghai Composite Index has formed a K-line shape with a long shadow line, and the trading volume has been enlarged, which indicates that there is greater pressure on the top and the market divergence has intensified. If tomorrow's index fails to effectively recover today's upper shadow line, and the trading volume continues to maintain at a relatively high level, the index may seek further support. In the short term, some important moving average positions below, such as 60-day moving average and 120-day moving average, will become key support areas. If the index can stabilize near these moving averages, and with the shrinking volume, the market is expected to enter the short-term shock consolidation stage, waiting for a new direction choice. On the other hand, if the index falls below these support levels quickly, it may trigger a new round of decline, dropping to near the previous low.(A) the perspective of technical analysisThird, tomorrow's A-share market inference

(C) financial and emotional factors(A) macroeconomic factorsAfter today's adjustment, the trend differentiation of the technology growth sector may intensify tomorrow. Some leading enterprises with real core technology competitiveness and clear performance growth expectations may attract funds to bargain-hunting after adjustment, take the lead in stabilizing and rebounding, and drive the overall popularity of the science and technology sector to rebound; And some small and medium-sized technology stocks that lack performance support and rely only on concept speculation may continue to face downward pressure. In addition, as a long-term stable force in the A-share market, the consumer sector is often more defensive when the market fluctuates greatly. If the overall market sentiment is still cautious tomorrow, the food and beverage, medicine and biology sub-sectors in the consumer sector are expected to continue to gain the favor of funds and maintain a relatively stable trend, which will play a certain supporting role in the index.